In examining the apartment market of Eastern Ontario, Kingston and Ottawa tend to draw the eye, and why not? They’re the largest markets in the region by far, with surprising strength, low vacancy rates and high average rents. But they’re not the only places to invest. If you want to park your money in a centre where you’ll know it will keep, then there are two centres which offer stable investments. These are the centres of Belleville and Peterborough, on the extreme eastern end of the Greater Toronto Area.
In crafting the ROCK Apartment Report, we found decent sized markets here, and although these didn’t boast the rents or vacancy rates of Kingston or Ottawa, they were still nothing to sneeze at. Here’s what we had to say about Belleville:
Located halfway between Toronto and Kingston, the City of Belleville is a small urban centre of 48,821. An established centre with significant industrial development, especially in food processing, the town is able to boast strong household incomes ($61,100). Its history and early growth have built a moderate sized apartment market with 5,706 units in its universe, a high concentration of 11.68 apartments per 100 people. Although the majority of these units are in buildings of 20 units or smaller, there are at least 20 buildings of 50 units or more.
Unfortunately, Belleville has suffered following the 2008 recession, and a rise in unemployment to 7.2%. This is illustrated in its apartment market which has seen vacancy rates rise from 3.7% in 2008 to 5.6% in 2009 before dropping to 4.4% in 2010, in spite of losing 105 apartment units in the past five years. The softest part of the market is in two bedroom apartments where vacancies remain at 4.7%. Three bedroom apartments are faring much better, at 1.2%.
This soft market has put the brakes on rent increases, which actually fell by 0.26% in 2010 after years of growth in the 2-4% range. The only part of the market that saw rents increase were bachelor apartments, which saw a significant jump in average rent to $590 from $549 the year before.
Belleville is too far from the Greater Toronto Area to benefit from its growth, but it has strong transportation connections that should allow industries to continue to grow and prosper. The city boasts a high quality of life, which has allowed the city to grow at a modest but steady rate. Once the city recovers from the effects of the 2008 recession and its oversupply, the long-term prospects of this market look good.
As for Peterborough, located closer to the Greater Toronto Area, this proximity, and the presence of Trent University, has helped warm up the local marketplace…
Located northeast of the Greater Toronto Area, the city of Peterborough has thus far avoided becoming a bedroom community serving Toronto’s urban sprawl. However, its distance may have isolated it economically.
Peterborough’s manufacturing base no longer dominates the economy, with government and education institutions acting as six of the city’s top eight employers. To address Peterborough’s economic development, the provincial and federal governments have taken steps to try and improve Peterborough’s transportation connections with the Greater Toronto Area, increasing the number of people commuting to work elsewhere. A new commuter train and an extension of Highway 407 are planned but are still years away.
Currently, the Peterborough census metropolitan area has a population of 121,428 and an apartment universe of 5,833 units, or a concentration of 4.8 units to 100 people, making it a strong secondary market.
Peterborough’s supply has steadily increased, with 373 units added since 2005. This, coupled with a volatile economy, caused vacancy rates to jump from 2.4% in 2008 to 6% in 2009. Vacancy rates fell back to 4.1% in 2010, but concerns about a saturated market remain. Rents, however, have continued to increase, averaging 2.1% per year over the past five years. The average rent currently stands at $847, just under $100 below the provincial average.
These aren’t quite as exciting as the opportunities in Kingston or Ottawa, or as we described in Northern Ontario, but as we said elsewhere in the ROCK Apartment Report, a good deal is a good deal anywhere, and the size of both markets offer up opportunities for investment and possible repositioning.